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Sunday 27 October 2013

EUR/USD A Push To 1.40 S/T Cable Approaching L/T Sell Zone

EUR/USD momentum indicators may be at disconcerting levels, but are not rolling over (to provide a negative warning) as gains continue to hold above February’s 1.3710 high, says Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ).
"Concern should be pushed aside and the rally could push through an interim retracement of 1.3835 to a series of measured moves in the 1.3950-1.4050 area. This more positive profile should still be seen in the context of EUR/USD defining the upper bounds of a much broader trading (consolidation) range," ANZ projects.
"Therefore any signs of faltering should be closely monitored in case of an unwinding of the series of rebounds off 1.3100. Ideally 1.3650-90 should provide support and a fall below 1.3565 would be needed to suggest a period of larger retracements," ANZ adds.





In GBP/USD , ANZ notes that the momentum indicators may be at high levels, but they are still positively skewed.
"This would also suggest that the uptrend is fully intact and should allow for a full test of 2012’s 1.6380 high within potential measured moves to 1.6750-75 and possibly even 1.7075," ANZ projects.
"Although sound gains appear likely, this is still considered to be a redefining of a broader trading range, albeit pushing the range higher. The push into the longer term “sell” zone also needs to be addressed and current gains need to be monitored closely in case of any signs of faltering," ANZ adds.




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